When it comes to dividend income, there are few industries more sought
after than pharmaceutical stocks. More specifically, investors tend to focus on
the 10 largest companies by market cap in pharmaceuticals because they're likely
to have established product portfolios, deep drug development pipelines, and
significant cash flow that allows them to pay dividends regularly higher than
the S&P 500 average of 2%.
In fact, of the 10 largest companies by market cap in pharmaceuticals,
there isn't one with a dividend yield lower than 2.2%, and the combined
operating cash flow of these 10 companies over the trailing-12-month period
equaled -- get ready for this -- $91.3 billion!
The biggest pharmaceuticals by market cap
The 10 largest companies by market cap in pharmaceuticals are:
Company
|
Market
Value
|
Dividend
Yield
|
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ )
|
$279
billion
|
2.7%
|
Novartis
|
$240.8
billion
|
2.8%
|
Pfizer (NYSE: PFE )
|
$211.6
billion
|
3.3%
|
Merck (NYSE: MRK )
|
$163.9
billion
|
3.1%
|
Sanofi
|
$130.7
billion
|
3.3%
|
GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK )
|
$113.1
billion
|
5.7%
|
Bristol-Myers Squibb
|
$108.5
billion
|
2.2%
|
AbbVie
|
$91.9
billion
|
3.4%
|
AstraZeneca
|
$88.5
billion
|
5.5%
|
Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY )
|
$78
billion
|
2.6%
|
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
The result of this exorbitant cash flow is ample benefits for shareholders.
As you can tell above, pharmaceuticals give investors significant dividend
income, which can potentially be supercharged by reinvesting your dividend
right back into more shares of pharmaceutical stocks.
In addition to healthy dividends, the pharmaceutical sector is known for
big share buybacks. Share repurchases help lower the number of shares
outstanding and can have a beneficial effect on a company's earnings per share,
or EPS. If a company's EPS is boosted by fewer shares outstanding, it could
make the company appear cheaper on a valuation or comparative basis and lead to
its share price rising.
Pfizer, for example, has been one of the biggest proponents of returning
money to its shareholders over the past four years. With nearly $12 billion in
share repurchases and dividends paid in 2014, Pfizer has now returned close to
$65 billion to its shareholders over the past four years.
Just because they're big doesn't mean they're
slam-dunk investments
Even though these pharmaceuticals are rife with cash, they are far from being without risk.
For example, the patent cliff has been wreaking havoc on pharmaceuticals. A
good example here is GlaxoSmithKline, which has enjoyed robust profits from its
long-term COPD and asthma maintenance therapy Advair/Seretide. An $8
billion-per-year drug, Advair has already lost patent protection in the U.S.,
but it has yet to face any real competition since the FDA took its time
spelling out to generic drug developers what it would look for in a generic
replacement. However, a generic version of the inhalable drug is expected in
2016, meaning Glaxo can probably kiss a substantial portion of its revenue
goodbye fairly soon. In fact, looking a few years down the road, I have to
question whether GlaxoSmithKline can even maintain its current dividend payout,
let alone grow it.
Another problem has been weak organic performance in addition to patent
exclusivity losses. Eli Lilly has already lost patent exclusivity on cancer
drug Gemzar, schizophrenia drug Zyprexa, osteoporosis drug Evista, pain drug
Cymbalta, and diabetes product Humalog... and that's just since 2010. On top of
these losses, Eli Lilly's late-stage Alzheimer's therapy solanezumab missed its
primary endpoint in 2012 (although it's being studied in a long-term trial for
its effect on early-stage Alzheimer's disease), its late-stage lymphoma hopeful
enzastaurin met a similar fate in 2013, and last year, tabalumab, the company's
lupus drug hopeful, was scrapped (after previously failing in a rheumatoid
arthritis trial as well, mind you).
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Finally, there are concerns about whether or not these drug development
pipelines can deliver multiple blockbusters as in years past. Here, I'd point
to a pharmaceutical such as Merck, which is sitting on a potential gold mine
with anti-PD-1 cancer immunotherapy drug Keytruda. This new pathway of
cancer-fighting agents works by enhancing a cancer patient's immune system to
help it better recognize and destroy cancer cells.
At the moment, Keytruda is only approved by the FDA as a last-line
treatment for metastatic melanoma, but it's being tested in about 30 different
indications as both a monotherapy and a combination therapy. Its sales
potential could very well be in excess of $5 billion.
But, one drug likely can't carry Merck's pipeline. When looking at what's
in line behind Keytruda, I struggle to see how Merck will continue to grow its
top line.
Big Pharma's shining star
The largest companies by market cap in pharmaceuticals may offer plenty of shareholder incentives, but as you've seen above, they're not invulnerable. One company, though, does appear to stand head and shoulders above its peers: Johnson & Johnson.
Johnson & Johnson isn't just a traditional pharmaceutical company --
it's actually one of the world's largest medical device makers, too, and it has
a large personal health products segment. Health products and even medical
devices aren't particularly quick-growing segments, but they provide either
strong pricing power (personal health products) and a rosy long-term outlook as
the U.S. population grows and ages (medical devices).
Make no mistake about it: J&Js pharmaceutical segment is where its
juicy margins and profit growth are generated. Since 2009, and through
mid-2014, Johnson & Johnson has introduced 14 new molecular entity drugs to
market that resulted in $12.5 billion in cumulative sales. These include
Imbruvica, a blood cancer drug with remarkable efficacy that it co-developed
with Pharmacyclics, and Invokana, a new type of diabetes therapy known
as an SGLT2 inhibitor that works in the kidneys to block glucose absorption and
allows type 2 diabetics to rid excess glucose through their urine.
With plenty of high-growth therapeutic fields represented in its product
portfolio and a 52-year streak of dividend increases, this is the shining star
of all pharmaceuticals that deserves your attention.
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