By Professor Jackie Hunter*
There
needs to be a fundamental shift in drug discovery and artificial Intelligence
holds the key to bringing the pharma industry into the 21st Century.
The
current drug discovery process needs to shift dramatically in order to meet the
needs both of society and patients in the 21st Century. Artificial
Intelligence and machine learning in particular, present the pharmaceutical industry
with a real opportunity to do R&D differently, so that it can operate more
efficiently and substantially improve success at the early stages of drug
development.
The
long term benefits of this will mean that the vast resources and money used to
develop drugs in the current process will be deployed more effectively to give
not only a better return on the investment but also a substantial increase in
the delivery of new medicines for serious diseases.
The current drug discovery process – too lengthy and very expensive
It
can take up to 15 years to translate a drug discovery idea from initial
inception to a market ready product. This contrasts with the rapidity of
innovation in other industry sectors.
Identifying the right protein to
manipulate in a disease, proving the concept, optimising the molecule for
delivery to the patient, carrying out preclinical and clinical safety and
efficacy testing are all essential, but ultimately the process takes
far too long.
“…spend well over $1 billion per drug”
Industry
is currently said to spend well over $1 billion per drug. That’s partly because
all the drugs that didn’t make it have to be paid for. Picking the protein
target, developing assays to measure activity at the target and screening a
large number of molecules to get the right molecule for the effect you want can
take anywhere between two to five years.
This
is before you can test safely in animals and then in Phase 1 testing on human
volunteers. Importantly, even when the compound has got this far, the chances
of it making it all the way through to the market are less than 1 in 10, even
with years of research already invested.
“this lack of success is why so many companies have had to merge”
In
short, the odds are not good. In fact, this lack of success is why so many
companies have had to merge because, over time, the current drug discovery
process is becoming less and less sustainable as a business model.
The role of AI and deep learning in the drug discovery process
The
drug discovery process and the researchers that drive the pipelines can be
greatly aided by the latest innovations in AI and machine learning technology.
The average biomedical researcher is dealing with a huge amount of new
information every day. It’s estimated that the bioscience industry is getting
10,000 new publications uploaded on a daily basis – from across the globe and
among a huge variety of biomedical databases and journals.
So
it’s impossible for researchers to know, let alone process, all of the scientific
knowledge out there relating to their area of investigation. What’s more,
without the ability to correlate, assimilate and connect all this data, it’s
impossible for new usable knowledge – which can be used to develop new
drug hypotheses – to be created.
AI and machine learning
AI
and machine learning have a vital role to play in augmenting the work of drug
development researchers so that an informed, first analysis of the mass of
scientific data can be conducted in order to form essential new knowledge.
As
a practical example, my own company BenevolentBio, has been doing research into
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). The AI we’ve developed – embodied in the
company’s Judgement Correlation System (JACS) – is able to review billions of
sentences and paragraphs from millions of scientific research papers and
abstracts.
JACS
then begins to link direct relationships between the data and regulates the
data into ‘known facts’. These known facts are curated, and hitherto unrealised
connections made, to generate a large number of possible hypotheses using
criteria set by the scientist – there were around 200 for ALS.
An
expert team of researchers then assess the validity of these hypotheses and
arrives at a prioritised list of hypotheses which are considered to be worth
exploring. Further interrogation by the scientists whittles this down to 5 hypotheses
that we then test in the lab – and some potential new mechanisms for disease
modification are identified.
Accelerating drug discovery with technology
We
are only just scratching the surface when it comes to the uses of AI and
machine learning in drug discovery. However, even at this early stage, the
technologies are proving to be tremendously promising when it comes to giving
new mechanistic insights to disease and thereby helping to identify promising
targets. But the technology can also help in other areas.
In
terms of compound design, the scope and augmentation that AI and machine
learning give us will mean that we can tap into a much broader chemical space,
in turn giving us a much wider and more varied chemical palette to better
enable us to pick the best molecules for drug discovery.
The
technology will also help in terms of the industry’s selection of patients for
clinical trials and enable companies to identify any issues with compounds much
earlier when it comes to efficacy and safety. So the industry has much to gain
by adopting AI and machine learning approaches. It can be used to good effect
to build a strong, sustainable pipeline of new medicines.
*Professor Jackie Hunter has held senior positions at global
pharmaceutical organisations including GSK, Proximagen and OI Pharma Partners
and joined BenevolentAI as CEO of BenevolentBio in 2016. Jackie has vast
academic and business experience in the biomedical and pharmaceutical sectors.
She directs the application of BenevolentAI’s technology for drug development and
gives the company the insight it needs to operate its unique business model –
one which sees it not only researching, but also developing the blueprint for
new drugs.